- Digital prescriptions lead to a land grab for nominations
- Pharmacy 2U, Echo, etc, become biggest pharmacies
- Move online extends to OTC sales (and advice) and reduces need for bricks and mortar pharmacy
- Domiciliary care bypasses pharmacy
- Proliferation of palliative care at home
- Pharma companies go direct to patients
- No new blockbuster launches
- Government squeezes pharmacy funding further to target NHS resources on long-term care
- Free market for service delivery leads to new entrants delivering elements of service
- Dispensing hubs/robotics create an unlevel playing field
- Inflation runs out of control
- Credit crunch – banks do not lend; recession
- Community pharmacy contract continues to squeeze procurement profit while demanding more for same/less
- Government introduces prescription co-payment, leading to drastic reduction in prescriptions.
Now rate and rank these potential trends to develop various scenarios in narrative form.